Monero (XMR) price prediction 2026
What the numbers say about Monero over the next hour, day, week, month and quarter — and why.
Monero (XMR) trades at 537.96 USDT. The 24-hour projection is 546.46 USDT (+1.58%), inside an 80% band of 531.301–562.06. Seven days out it is 577.177 USDT (+7.29%). Of 100 technical rules, 36 read bullish and 33 bearish, so the published call is neutral. Computed 11 October 2026, 23:58 UTC.
CryptosalesAI outlook computed · Data sources: binance · huobi · kucoin · mexc
- Rules pointing up
- 35% 36 of 100 bullish
- 24-hour projection
- +1.58% 546.46 USDT
- 7-day projection
- +7.29% 577.177 USDT
- 30-day projection
- +31.3% 706.503 USDT
- Market regime
- Range-bound ADX 34
- Volatility
- Calm ATR 5.14% of price
- Support
- 392.873 USDT
- Resistance
- 623.213 USDT
XMR price and projected range
Daily closes for the period shown, then the projected path with its 80% band. The band is the honest part: the line is one number out of everything that could happen, the band is where the model expects the price to actually land four times out of five.
XMR price projection by horizon
| Horizon | Projected price | Change | 80% band | Confidence | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| In an hour | 540.865 | +0.54% | 537.769 – 543.98 | 41% | |
| In 24 hours | 546.46 | +1.58% | 531.301 – 562.06 | 39% | |
| In 7 days | 577.177 | +7.29% | 535.768 – 621.853 | 35% | |
| In 14 days | 614.081 | +14.2% | 552.705 – 682.416 | 33% | |
| In 30 days | 706.503 | +31.3% | 605.572 – 824.615 | 30% | |
| In 90 days | 1 046.92 | +94.6% | 802.022 – 1 368.47 | 25% |
Why XMR is projected to trade sideways
Every reason below is a measurement, sorted by how much it moved the verdict. Reasons that point against the call are listed too — a forecast that only shows its supporting evidence is an advertisement.
Price and trend
- MACD is below its signal line by 0.93% of price — short-term momentum is negative.
- The market is range-bound (choppiness 67), so the projection leans back toward the middle rather than out of it.
- The rule set is split — 36 bullish against 33 bearish — so no side has a working majority.
- Price sits 4.7% above its 50-day average: the medium-term trend is intact.
- Volume is 29% below its monthly average, so whatever the price does has little conviction behind it.
Futures positioning
- Only 0.66 accounts are long for every one short: positioning is unusually bearish, which often marks a floor.
- Aggressive flow is selling-led, at a 0.94 taker buy/sell ratio.
Market backdrop
- The Fear & Greed index is 61 — greed. Crowded optimism raises the cost of being wrong.
What the 100 technical rules say about XMR
Each rule is a conventional indicator strategy — moving-average crosses, oscillators, bands, trend and volume filters, price-action patterns. They vote independently; the consensus is the tally, not an opinion about it.
| Family | Bias | Bullish | Bearish |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moving Averages | 15 | 10 | |
| Oscillators | 11 | 12 | |
| Bands | 1 | 1 | |
| Trend | 8 | 6 | |
| Volume | 0 | 4 | |
| Price Action | 1 | 0 |
Strongest individual signals
- EMA 20/50 Cross Bullish
- EMA 21/55 Cross Bullish
- EMA 50/200 Cross Bullish
- EMA 100/200 Cross Bullish
- SMA 20/50 Cross Bullish
- SMA 50/100 Cross Bullish
- SMA 50/200 Cross Bullish
- Price vs EMA50 Bullish
XMR futures positioning
What traders are actually paying to hold. Crowded positioning is read against itself: a side everyone is on is a side that can be squeezed.
- Funding rate
- +0.01% +10.9% a year
- Open interest, 24h
- -3.17% 80.9K
- Taker buy/sell
- 0.94
- Accounts long/short
- 0.66
- Order-book imbalance
- 0.00%
Market backdrop Neutral
Signals shared by the whole market, refreshed on their own cadence and folded into every projection on the site.
- Fear & Greed index 61 The Fear & Greed index is 61 — greed. Crowded optimism raises the cost of being wrong.
- Implied volatility 44% Options are pricing about 44% annualised volatility, so the projection band is scaled ×0.98.
- Capital in DeFi $92.4B Capital committed in DeFi is $92.4B, -2.9% over the week.
- CME positioning — source unavailable
How previous XMR forecasts turned out
Every projection is written down when it is made and compared with the market once its horizon passes. Nothing here is recomputed with hindsight.
- Direction called correctly
- 51%
- Landed inside the band
- 58%
- Average error
- 3.0%
- Forecasts scored
- 45 since 28 August 2026
Exchange XMR now
A projection is not a reason to trade, but if you have already decided to, this is what the direction costs across 4 services right now.
How CryptosalesAI calculates this
CryptosalesAI merges candles across Binance, MEXC, KuCoin and HTX, so no single venue's outage or thin book can distort the series. A hundred conventional technical rules then vote on direction; the vote balance, the trend regime, derivatives positioning and the wider market backdrop are combined into a projection for each horizon. The band around each price is an 80% confidence interval, and it is scored against what actually happened.
Questions about the Monero forecast
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Is this investment advice?
This is a statistical projection from public market data, not investment advice. Crypto prices can move further and faster than any model allows for; never commit money you cannot afford to lose.