Bitcoin (BTC) price prediction 2026
What the numbers say about Bitcoin over the next hour, day, week, month and quarter — and why.
Bitcoin (BTC) trades at 79 366.11 USDT. The 24-hour projection is 79 501.04 USDT (+0.17%), inside an 80% band of 77 069.18–82 002.48. Seven days out it is 79 588.34 USDT (+0.28%). Of 100 technical rules, 63 read bullish and 21 bearish, so the published call is bullish. Computed 27 August 2026, 12:35 UTC.
Outlook computed · Data sources: binance · huobi · kucoin · mexc
- Rules pointing up
- 64% 63 of 100 bullish
- 24-hour projection
- +0.17% 79 501.04 USDT
- 7-day projection
- +0.28% 79 588.34 USDT
- 30-day projection
- +0.02% 79 381.99 USDT
- Market regime
- Uptrend ADX 42
- Volatility
- Elevated ATR 2.83% of price
- Support
- 58 108.58 USDT
- Resistance
- 80 822.1 USDT
BTC price and projected range
Daily closes for the period shown, then the projected path with its 80% band. The band is the honest part: the line is one number out of everything that could happen, the band is where the model expects the price to actually land four times out of five.
BTC price projection by horizon
| Horizon | Projected price | Change | 80% band | Confidence | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| In an hour | 79 397.86 | +0.04% | 78 896.35 – 79 902.27 | 51% | |
| In 24 hours | 79 501.04 | +0.17% | 77 069.18 – 82 002.48 | 49% | |
| In 7 days | 79 588.34 | +0.28% | 73 297.54 – 86 366.71 | 44% | |
| In 30 days | 79 381.99 | +0.02% | 66 906.04 – 93 942.89 | 38% | |
| In 90 days | 78 183.56 | -1.49% | 58 032.3 – 104 519.47 | 31% |
Why BTC is projected to rise
Every reason below is a measurement, sorted by how much it moved the verdict. Reasons that point against the call are listed too — a forecast that only shows its supporting evidence is an advertisement.
Price and trend
- The trend is up and confirmed (ADX 42), so momentum carries the projection with it.
- Price sits 16.2% above its 50-day average: the medium-term trend is intact.
- MACD is above its signal line by 1.52% of price — short-term momentum is positive.
- 63 of the 100 technical rules read bullish against 21 bearish.
- Price is only 1.8% below resistance at 80 822.1, which usually caps a first attempt.
- RSI is 82: the move is stretched and vulnerable to a pullback.
Futures positioning
- The order book is ask-heavy by 28% across the top hundred levels.
- Aggressive flow is selling-led, at a 0.70 taker buy/sell ratio.
- Only 1.04 accounts are long for every one short: positioning is unusually bearish, which often marks a floor.
Market backdrop
- Capital committed in DeFi is $88.8B, +8.3% over the week.
- Asset managers on CME hold 4531 long against 1799 short contracts — a net +43.2% lean.
- The Fear & Greed index is 71 — greed. Crowded optimism raises the cost of being wrong.
What the 100 technical rules say about BTC
Each rule is a conventional indicator strategy — moving-average crosses, oscillators, bands, trend and volume filters, price-action patterns. They vote independently; the consensus is the tally, not an opinion about it.
| Family | Bias | Bullish | Bearish |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moving Averages | 21 | 5 | |
| Oscillators | 15 | 14 | |
| Bands | 5 | 1 | |
| Trend | 16 | 0 | |
| Volume | 4 | 0 | |
| Price Action | 2 | 1 |
Strongest individual signals
- EMA 3/8 Cross Bullish
- EMA 5/13 Cross Bullish
- EMA 8/21 Cross Bullish
- EMA 9/26 Cross Bullish
- EMA 12/26 Cross Bullish
- EMA 13/34 Cross Bullish
- EMA 20/50 Cross Bullish
- EMA 21/55 Cross Bullish
BTC futures positioning
What traders are actually paying to hold. Crowded positioning is read against itself: a side everyone is on is a side that can be squeezed.
- Funding rate
- +0.01% +9.68% a year
- Open interest, 24h
- -0.09% 105.5K
- Taker buy/sell
- 0.70
- Accounts long/short
- 1.04
- Order-book imbalance
- -28.5%
Market backdrop Neutral
Signals shared by the whole market, refreshed on their own cadence and folded into every projection on the site.
- Fear & Greed index 71 The Fear & Greed index is 71 — greed. Crowded optimism raises the cost of being wrong.
- Implied volatility 50% Options are pricing about 50% annualised volatility, so the projection band is scaled ×1.10.
- Capital in DeFi $88.8B Capital committed in DeFi is $88.8B, +8.3% over the week.
- CME positioning +43.2% Asset managers on CME hold 4531 long against 1799 short contracts — a net +43.2% lean.
How previous BTC forecasts turned out
Not enough forecasts have matured yet to publish a track record for BTC. It appears once at least eight have been scored.
Exchange BTC now
A projection is not a reason to trade, but if you have already decided to, this is what the direction costs across 5 services right now.
How this is calculated
Candles are merged across Binance, MEXC, KuCoin and HTX, so no single venue's outage or thin book can distort the series. A hundred conventional technical rules then vote on direction; the vote balance, the trend regime, derivatives positioning and the wider market backdrop are combined into a projection for each horizon. The band around each price is an 80% confidence interval, and it is scored against what actually happened.
Questions about the Bitcoin forecast
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Is this investment advice?
This is a statistical projection from public market data, not investment advice. Crypto prices can move further and faster than any model allows for; never commit money you cannot afford to lose.